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Mixing patterns and the spread of close-contact infectious diseases

WJ Edmunds1 email, G Kafatos1 email, J Wallinga2 email and JR Mossong3 email

Statistics, Modelling and Bioinformatics Department, Health Protection Agency Centre for Infections, 61 Colindale Avenue, London NW9 5EQ, UK

Department of Infectious Diseases Epidemiology, National Institute of Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), PO Box 1, 3720 BA Bilthoven, The Netherlands

Laboratoire National de Santé, P.O. Box 1102, L-1011, Luxembourg

author email corresponding author email

Emerging Themes in Epidemiology 2006, 3:10doi:10.1186/1742-7622-3-10

Published: 14 August 2006

Abstract

Surprisingly little is known regarding the human mixing patterns relevant to the spread of close-contact infections, such as measles, influenza and meningococcal disease. This study aims to estimate the number of partnerships that individuals make, their stability and the degree to which mixing is assortative with respect to age. We defined four levels of putative at-risk events from casual (physical contact without conversation) to intimate (contact of a sexual nature), and asked university student volunteers to record details on those they contacted at these levels on three separate days. We found that intimate contacts are stable over short time periods whereas there was no evidence of repeat casual contacts with the same individuals. The contacts were increasingly assortative as intimacy increased. Such information will aid the development and parameterisation of models of close contact diseases, and may have direct use in outbreak investigations.


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